Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | LIU -150 LEM +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +16 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -4.9 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -2.5 (+13.5) | 141.4 (-1.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -3.6 (+12.4) | 139.3 (+0.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -2.3 (+13.7) | 141.8 (-1.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -2.0 (+14.0) | 140.0 (-0.0) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | LIU 83 – 61 LEM |
| Jan 19, 2026 | LEM 83 – 77 LIU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LIU 76 – 61 LEM |
| Feb 23, 2024 | LIU 76 – 64 LEM |
| Jan 27, 2024 | LEM 87 – 74 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 4-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 7-9 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.5 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 81.4 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#321) | -10.5 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#312) | -1.34 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#307) | -1.93 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#298) | 0.437 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.6% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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