Betting Lines
| Spread | LEM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
| Money | LIU +148 LEM -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +12 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | LEM -4.0 (+16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEM -3.3 (+15.3) | 144.5 (-4.5) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEM -4.7 (+16.7) | 145.6 (-5.6) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEM -4.4 (+16.4) | 146.6 (-6.6) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEM -3.3 (+15.3) | 145.6 (-5.6) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | LIU 83 – 61 LEM |
| Jan 19, 2026 | LEM 83 – 77 LIU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LIU 76 – 61 LEM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | LIU 78 – 62 LEM |
| Jan 27, 2024 | LEM 87 – 74 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-22 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 9-7 |
| Home | 5-4 | 10-3 |
| Away | 1-17 | 5-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -14.5 (#350) | -7.2 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#343) | -1.44 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.82 (#340) | -1.85 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#344) | 0.431 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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