Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | LEM -110 LIU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +15 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | LIU -1.9 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -1.8 (-13.2) | 140.2 (-3.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -2.6 (-12.4) | 138.3 (-1.3) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -2.7 (-12.3) | 139.7 (-2.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -1.6 (-13.4) | 140.4 (-3.4) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | LIU 83 – 61 LEM |
| Jan 19, 2026 | LEM 83 – 77 LIU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | LIU 78 – 62 LEM |
| Feb 23, 2024 | LIU 76 – 64 LEM |
| Jan 27, 2024 | LEM 87 – 74 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEM | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 12-4 |
| Home | 6-7 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-16 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 65.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.4 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -13.8 (#350) | -8.8 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#333) | -1.39 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.79 (#337) | -1.85 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#327) | 0.448 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEM | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 32.7% |
Game Analysis
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