Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | LIU -395 LEM +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +22 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -5.9 (+16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -4.5 (+17.5) | 141.5 (+2.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -5.7 (+16.3) | 142.1 (+1.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -5.1 (+16.9) | 142.7 (+1.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -4.5 (+17.5) | 141.9 (+2.1) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2026 | LEM 83 – 77 LIU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LIU 76 – 61 LEM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | LIU 78 – 62 LEM |
| Feb 23, 2024 | LIU 76 – 64 LEM |
| Jan 27, 2024 | LEM 87 – 74 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 10-9 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#216) | -5.8 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#188) | -1.12 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#194) | -1.67 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#172) | 0.444 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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