Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | COFC -300 TOW +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +8 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -10.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -7.6 (+0.4) | 139.3 (+6.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -8.2 (-0.2) | 139.0 (+7.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -8.3 (-0.3) | 139.1 (+6.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -8.3 (-0.3) | 139.8 (+6.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | TOW 81 – 56 COFC |
| Jan 16, 2026 | TOW 61 – 52 COFC |
| Mar 11, 2024 | COFC 61 – 56 TOW |
| Feb 24, 2024 | COFC 72 – 56 TOW |
| Jan 19, 2024 | TOW 82 – 78 COFC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 16-2 |
| Home | 13-2 | 12-1 |
| Away | 7-5 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#128) | -4.2 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#79) | -0.33 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#95) | -0.62 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#51) | 0.501 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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