Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | COFC -600 TOW +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +4 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -8.4 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -6.3 (-10.3) | 137.8 (+22.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -8.2 (-12.2) | 138.9 (+21.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -6.6 (-10.6) | 137.8 (+22.2) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -6.8 (-10.8) | 138.1 (+21.9) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | TOW 81 – 56 COFC |
| Jan 16, 2026 | TOW 61 – 52 COFC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | COFC 77 – 69 TOW |
| Mar 11, 2024 | COFC 61 – 56 TOW |
| Feb 24, 2024 | COFC 72 – 56 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-2 | 12-2 |
| Away | 10-2 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-6 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 64.2 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#116) | -1.3 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#86) | -0.03 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#89) | -0.02 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#57) | 0.487 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 15.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 41.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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