Betting Lines
| Spread | CARK -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | CARK -225 BELL +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CARK +6 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | CARK -6.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CARK -5.6 (+0.4) | 147.0 (-11.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CARK -5.8 (+0.2) | 146.5 (-10.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CARK -5.4 (+0.6) | 146.8 (-10.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CARK -5.4 (+0.6) | 148.3 (-12.3) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CARK 86 – 73 BELL |
| Feb 12, 2026 | CARK 84 – 76 BELL |
| Jan 9, 2026 | BELL 84 – 78 CARK |
| Feb 22, 2024 | BELL 68 – 65 CARK |
| Jan 13, 2024 | CARK 59 – 57 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 2-16 |
| Home | 7-7 | 5-10 |
| Away | 1-16 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#342) | -13.8 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#341) | -3.77 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.04 (#338) | -4.47 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#340) | 0.335 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 27.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 58.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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