Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | BELL -250 CARK +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +3 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | BELL -7.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -4.4 (-1.4) | 142.5 (-9.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -4.3 (-1.3) | 142.0 (-9.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -4.3 (-1.3) | 140.9 (-7.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -4.2 (-1.2) | 142.4 (-9.4) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CARK 86 – 73 BELL |
| Feb 12, 2026 | CARK 84 – 76 BELL |
| Jan 9, 2026 | BELL 84 – 78 CARK |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CARK 71 – 65 BELL |
| Jan 13, 2024 | CARK 59 – 57 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 5-11 |
| Home | 6-7 | 5-10 |
| Away | 2-16 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 80.3 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#320) | -13.6 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#334) | -1.87 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.47 (#334) | -2.41 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#329) | 0.392 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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