Betting Lines
| Spread | CARK -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | CARK -425 BELL +330 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CARK +8 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | CARK -9.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (+2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CARK -10.3 (-2.3) | 151.2 (+8.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CARK -10.4 (-2.4) | 155.3 (+4.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CARK -8.8 (-0.8) | 151.6 (+8.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CARK -8.7 (-0.7) | 152.7 (+7.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CARK 86 – 73 BELL |
| Jan 9, 2026 | BELL 84 – 78 CARK |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CARK 71 – 65 BELL |
| Feb 22, 2024 | BELL 68 – 65 CARK |
| Jan 13, 2024 | CARK 59 – 57 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-10 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 83.3 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#171) | -6.9 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#203) | -1.16 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#209) | -1.52 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#167) | 0.439 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 51.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 27.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 58.7% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 58.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.