Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | CARK +140 BELL -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CARK +2 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | BELL -1.7 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-26.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -2.4 (+4.4) | 144.1 (-28.1) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -3.0 (+5.0) | 140.4 (-24.4) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -1.6 (+3.6) | 143.3 (-27.3) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -2.5 (+4.5) | 143.9 (-27.9) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CARK 86 – 73 BELL |
| Feb 12, 2026 | CARK 84 – 76 BELL |
| Jan 9, 2026 | BELL 84 – 78 CARK |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CARK 71 – 65 BELL |
| Feb 22, 2024 | BELL 68 – 65 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 4-12 |
| Home | 5-10 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-13 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.3 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -14.0 (#345) | -8.2 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.58 (#344) | -2.30 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.24 (#345) | -2.46 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.373 (#350) | 0.427 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 63.7% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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