Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | MORG +195 SCST -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +14 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | SCST -8.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -8.3 (-5.7) | 147.0 (+11.0) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -6.7 (-7.3) | 145.7 (+12.3) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -7.6 (-6.4) | 149.0 (+9.0) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCST -8.4 (-5.6) | 145.9 (+12.1) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MORG 90 – 83 SCST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MORG 72 – 67 SCST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SCST 90 – 62 MORG |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SCST 72 – 61 MORG |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MORG 72 – 70 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORG | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 11-3 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-2 |
| Away | 2-13 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -15.0 (#353) | -2.4 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.89 (#347) | -1.20 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.47 (#343) | -1.56 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.340 (#360) | 0.448 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORG | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.7% | 33.1% |
Game Analysis
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