He is handing the money / He is serving the food / He knows about your party / He is calling you dude. "Comfort Eagle" - Cake
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference · Hill Field House · January 4, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SCST -5.5 Away covered
O/U 154.5 Over
Money MORG +195 / SCST -230
Model Predictions
Spread Total MORG win
Actual SCST +14 158 Lost
Massey SCST -8.5 (-5.5)
Massey Totals 153.4 (+4.6)
Bradley-Terry 28%
Weighted B-T 26%
Baseline Plus ML SCST -7.6 (-6.4) 149.0 (+9.0) 21%
Model 4 ML SCST -6.7 (-7.3) 145.7 (+12.3) 24%
Model 3 ML SCST -8.3 (-5.7) 147.0 (+11.0) 20%
Baseline ML SCST -8.4 (-5.6) 145.9 (+12.1) 21%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 MORG 9083 SCST
Jan 10, 2026 MORG 7267 SCST
Feb 15, 2025 SCST 9062 MORG
Mar 2, 2024 SCST 7261 MORG
Feb 3, 2024 MORG 7270 SCST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MORG SCST
Overall 14-18 20-13
Conference 7-7 11-3
Home 11-4 10-2
Away 2-13 7-10
Neutral 1-1 3-1
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.2 76.0
Avg Pts Against 82.8 71.5
Massey -15.0 (#353) -2.4 (#199)
Bradley-Terry -2.89 (#347) -1.20 (#277)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.47 (#343) -1.56 (#280)
RPI 0.340 (#360) 0.448 (#270)
Shooting & Four Factors MORG SCST
FG% 45.9% 42.1%
3PT% 28.5% 30.8%
REB / G 34.6 33.5
OREB / G 11.4 11.6
AST / TO 0.95 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.6% 47.2%
TOV% 18.1% 19.6%
ORB% 31.3% 31.6%
FT Rate 20.4% 25.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.9% 51.7%
Opp TOV% 15.3% 21.5%
DRB% 68.1% 67.0%
Opp FT Rate 31.7% 33.1%

Game Analysis

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