Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | SCST -163 MORG +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +2 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | SCST -7.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.5 (-15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -4.9 (-6.9) | 150.1 (-8.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -5.0 (-7.0) | 149.7 (-7.7) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -5.0 (-7.0) | 150.9 (-8.9) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SCST -5.5 (-7.5) | 150.1 (-8.1) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MORG 90 – 83 SCST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MORG 72 – 67 SCST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SCST 90 – 62 MORG |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SCST 86 – 72 MORG |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SCST 72 – 61 MORG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 7-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-13 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 80.0 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#328) | -14.5 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#299) | -2.64 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#308) | -3.05 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#298) | 0.394 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 62.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.6% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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