Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | SCST -500 MORG +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +28 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | SCST -12.6 (+15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -11.1 (+16.9) | 154.2 (-2.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -10.2 (+17.8) | 157.0 (-5.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -11.1 (+16.9) | 155.8 (-3.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCST -11.7 (+16.3) | 155.7 (-3.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MORG 90 – 83 SCST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MORG 72 – 67 SCST |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SCST 86 – 72 MORG |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SCST 72 – 61 MORG |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MORG 72 – 70 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 7-7 |
| Home | 10-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-10 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 82.8 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#214) | -12.4 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#281) | -2.12 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#262) | -2.65 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#281) | 0.374 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.2% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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