Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | SCST +105 MORG -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +7 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | MORG -0.1 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (+18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -0.2 (-6.8) | 145.9 (+27.1) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -1.5 (-8.5) | 143.9 (+29.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -0.3 (-6.7) | 147.5 (+25.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -0.9 (-6.1) | 145.7 (+27.3) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | MORG 72 – 67 SCST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SCST 90 – 62 MORG |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SCST 86 – 72 MORG |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SCST 72 – 61 MORG |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MORG 72 – 70 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 10-4 |
| Home | 6-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-16 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -19.2 (#360) | -16.2 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.72 (#353) | -2.12 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.67 (#354) | -3.21 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#356) | 0.409 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 62.4% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.1% | 37.8% |
Game Analysis
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