Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | MORG +110 SCST -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +11 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | SCST -0.9 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -1.3 (-9.7) | 146.7 (-13.7) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -1.4 (-9.6) | 144.5 (-11.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -1.4 (-9.6) | 147.1 (-14.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCST -0.9 (-10.1) | 146.9 (-13.9) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MORG 90 – 83 SCST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MORG 72 – 67 SCST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SCST 90 – 62 MORG |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SCST 86 – 72 MORG |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MORG 72 – 70 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORG | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 9-5 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.0 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#345) | -9.2 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#332) | -1.22 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#326) | -1.46 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#319) | 0.445 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORG | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 62.2% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 36.0% |
Game Analysis
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