Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | ORST -2500 USD +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +27 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | ORST -19.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORST -14.6 (+12.4) | 141.0 (-6.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -15.2 (+11.8) | 140.6 (-5.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -15.7 (+11.3) | 141.9 (-6.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -17.0 (+10.0) | 140.6 (-5.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | ORST 92 – 82 USD |
| Jan 31, 2026 | ORST 78 – 76 USD |
| Feb 22, 2025 | ORST 83 – 73 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 6-27 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 2-16 |
| Home | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Away | 3-7 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 80.2 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#74) | -8.0 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#72) | -2.40 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#74) | -2.50 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#94) | 0.380 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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