Betting Lines
| Spread | USD -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | USD -170 ORST +142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +2 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | USD -3.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USD -1.5 (-3.5) | 148.5 (+5.5) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USD -1.8 (-3.8) | 146.3 (+7.7) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USD -2.0 (-4.0) | 148.1 (+5.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USD -2.2 (-4.2) | 148.8 (+5.2) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | ORST 92 – 82 USD |
| Feb 22, 2025 | ORST 83 – 73 USD |
| Jan 4, 2025 | ORST 81 – 54 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-8 | 12-5 |
| Away | 2-11 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#212) | -3.1 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#216) | 0.06 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#214) | -0.03 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#250) | 0.500 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 34.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 62.6% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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