Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | USD +600 ORST -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +10 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | ORST -13.6 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORST -11.4 (+1.4) | 143.8 (+12.2) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -12.5 (+2.5) | 145.5 (+10.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -13.2 (+3.2) | 147.5 (+8.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -12.8 (+2.8) | 144.1 (+11.9) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | ORST 92 – 82 USD |
| Jan 31, 2026 | ORST 78 – 76 USD |
| Jan 4, 2025 | ORST 81 – 54 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-27 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Away | 0-12 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#312) | 7.9 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.70 (#352) | 1.16 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.80 (#338) | 1.48 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#348) | 0.539 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.6% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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