The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Ohio Valley Conference · First Community Arena · January 4, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SIUE -7.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money SIUE -340 / LIN +270
Model Predictions
Spread Total SIUE win
Actual SIUE +11 105 Won
Massey SIUE -10.0 (+1.0)
Massey Totals 136.4 (-31.4)
Bradley-Terry 82%
Weighted B-T 90%
Efficiency Plus ML SIUE -7.9 (+3.1) 139.2 (-34.2) 77%
Baseline Tuned ML SIUE -7.1 (+3.9) 138.5 (-33.5) 77%
Baseline ML SIUE -6.8 (+4.2) 139.2 (-34.2) 74%
Baseline Plus ML SIUE -8.0 (+3.0) 140.5 (-35.5) 73%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 4, 2026 SIUE 7872 LIN
Jan 7, 2026 SIUE 6662 LIN
Jan 31, 2025 LIN 6563 SIUE
Feb 16, 2024 SIUE 9163 LIN
Jan 19, 2024 SIUE 7859 LIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SIUE LIN
Overall 22-12 16-17
Conference 13-7 10-10
Home 12-3 11-3
Away 7-8 3-12
Neutral 3-1 2-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.6 68.3
Avg Pts Against 68.3 74.2
Massey -3.7 (#229) -9.6 (#319)
Bradley-Terry -0.85 (#254) -1.60 (#305)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.38 (#261) -2.72 (#330)
RPI 0.454 (#260) 0.419 (#312)
Shooting & Four Factors SIUE LIN
FG% 42.1% 40.8%
3PT% 33.2% 26.1%
REB / G 36.7 35.1
OREB / G 11.8 11.6
AST / TO 1.15 0.80
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.8% 45.3%
TOV% 17.3% 18.9%
ORB% 31.8% 30.2%
FT Rate 15.1% 21.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 54.6%
Opp TOV% 16.3% 19.9%
DRB% 69.7% 70.9%
Opp FT Rate 22.4% 25.9%

Game Analysis

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