Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
Ohio Valley Conference · First Community Arena · January 4, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SIUE -7.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money SIUE -340 / LIN +270
Model Predictions
Spread Total SIUE win
Actual SIUE +11 105 Won
Massey SIUE -10.0 (+1.0) — —
Massey Totals — 136.4 (-31.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 82% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 90% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SIUE -8.0 (+3.0) 140.5 (-35.5) 73% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SIUE -7.9 (+3.1) 139.2 (-34.2) 77% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SIUE -7.1 (+3.9) 138.5 (-33.5) 77% ✓
Baseline ML SIUE -6.8 (+4.2) 139.2 (-34.2) 74% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 4, 2026 SIUE 78 – 72 LIN
Jan 7, 2026 SIUE 66 – 62 LIN
Jan 31, 2025 LIN 65 – 63 SIUE
Feb 16, 2024 SIUE 91 – 63 LIN
Jan 19, 2024 SIUE 78 – 59 LIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SIUE LIN
Overall 22-12 16-17
Conference 13-7 10-10
Home 12-3 11-3
Away 7-8 3-12
Neutral 3-1 2-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.6 68.3
Avg Pts Against 68.3 74.2
Massey -3.7 (#229) -9.6 (#319)
Bradley-Terry -0.85 (#254) -1.60 (#305)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.38 (#261) -2.72 (#330)
RPI 0.454 (#260) 0.419 (#312)
Shooting & Four Factors SIUE LIN
FG% 42.1% 40.8%
3PT% 33.2% 26.1%
REB / G 36.7 35.1
OREB / G 11.8 11.6
AST / TO 1.15 0.80
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.8% 45.3%
TOV% 17.3% 18.9%
ORB% 31.8% 30.2%
FT Rate 15.1% 21.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 54.6%
Opp TOV% 16.3% 19.9%
DRB% 69.7% 70.9%
Opp FT Rate 22.4% 25.9%

Game Analysis

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