Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | LIN -218 SIUE +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +6 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | LIN -4.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (+11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -2.6 (-8.6) | 136.4 (+13.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -2.5 (-8.5) | 136.5 (+13.5) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -3.3 (-9.3) | 132.0 (+18.0) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -3.2 (-9.2) | 133.6 (+16.4) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | SIUE 66 – 62 LIN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | LIN 65 – 63 SIUE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SIUE 58 – 47 LIN |
| Feb 16, 2024 | SIUE 91 – 63 LIN |
| Jan 19, 2024 | SIUE 78 – 59 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 65.9 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#231) | -6.1 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#214) | -1.04 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#234) | -1.37 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#200) | 0.442 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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