This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
Ohio Valley Conference · Hyland Arena · February 4, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread LIN -4.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Money LIN -218 / SIUE +180
Model Predictions
Spread Total LIN win
Actual SIUE +6 150 Lost
Massey LIN -4.8 (-10.8)
Massey Totals 138.7 (+11.3)
Bradley-Terry 73%
Weighted B-T 73%
Efficiency Plus ML LIN -2.5 (-8.5) 136.5 (+13.5) 66%
Baseline Tuned ML LIN -3.3 (-9.3) 132.0 (+18.0) 64%
Baseline ML LIN -3.2 (-9.2) 133.6 (+16.4) 63%
Baseline Plus ML LIN -2.6 (-8.6) 136.4 (+13.6) 64%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 7, 2026 SIUE 6662 LIN
Jan 31, 2025 LIN 6563 SIUE
Jan 4, 2025 SIUE 5847 LIN
Feb 16, 2024 SIUE 9163 LIN
Jan 19, 2024 SIUE 7859 LIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LIN SIUE
Overall 18-15 19-13
Conference 11-9 12-8
Home 9-5 10-5
Away 7-9 8-7
Neutral 2-1 1-1
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.4 67.7
Avg Pts Against 75.0 65.9
Massey -4.3 (#231) -6.1 (#260)
Bradley-Terry -0.56 (#214) -1.04 (#262)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.98 (#234) -1.37 (#263)
RPI 0.492 (#200) 0.442 (#280)
Shooting & Four Factors LIN SIUE
FG% 44.2% 42.5%
3PT% 28.7% 34.3%
REB / G 38.0 35.6
OREB / G 12.5 10.8
AST / TO 0.93 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.7% 48.5%
TOV% 19.2% 17.6%
ORB% 32.9% 31.2%
FT Rate 27.6% 22.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.3% 45.3%
Opp TOV% 18.7% 17.2%
DRB% 67.6% 67.3%
Opp FT Rate 24.2% 26.2%

Game Analysis

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