Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
Ohio Valley Conference · First Community Arena · February 16, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SIUE -10.5 Home covered
O/U 131.5 Over
Money SIUE -600 / LIN +500
Model Predictions
Spread Total SIUE win
Actual SIUE +28 154 Won
Massey SIUE -12.3 (+15.7) — —
Massey Totals — 132.2 (+21.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 91% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 93% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SIUE -9.6 (+18.4) 136.4 (+17.6) 83% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SIUE -10.4 (+17.6) 134.6 (+19.4) 85% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SIUE -9.7 (+18.3) 134.5 (+19.5) 85% ✓
Baseline ML SIUE -9.4 (+18.6) 135.2 (+18.8) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 4, 2026 SIUE 78 – 72 LIN
Jan 7, 2026 SIUE 66 – 62 LIN
Jan 31, 2025 LIN 65 – 63 SIUE
Jan 4, 2025 SIUE 58 – 47 LIN
Jan 19, 2024 SIUE 78 – 59 LIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SIUE LIN
Overall 17-16 9-22
Conference 9-9 3-15
Home 12-2 4-10
Away 2-13 3-12
Neutral 3-1 2-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.4 63.4
Avg Pts Against 71.0 74.9
Massey -5.9 (#275) -14.8 (#351)
Bradley-Terry -0.94 (#270) -2.58 (#353)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.26 (#276) -3.19 (#349)
RPI 0.456 (#262) 0.371 (#356)
Shooting & Four Factors SIUE LIN
FG% 41.1% 38.7%
3PT% 33.5% 27.8%
REB / G 33.6 31.2
OREB / G 10.4 8.5
AST / TO 0.97 0.59
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.3% 42.9%
TOV% 15.7% 17.8%
ORB% 29.3% 24.0%
FT Rate 23.9% 28.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.3% 53.0%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 18.0%
DRB% 70.2% 71.0%
Opp FT Rate 25.1% 29.4%

Game Analysis

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