I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper
Ohio Valley Conference · First Community Arena · February 16, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SIUE -10.5 Home covered
O/U 131.5 Over
Money SIUE -600 / LIN +500
Model Predictions
Spread Total SIUE win
Actual SIUE +28 154 Won
Massey SIUE -12.3 (+15.7)
Massey Totals 132.2 (+21.8)
Bradley-Terry 91%
Weighted B-T 93%
Efficiency Plus ML SIUE -10.4 (+17.6) 134.6 (+19.4) 85%
Baseline Tuned ML SIUE -9.7 (+18.3) 134.5 (+19.5) 85%
Baseline ML SIUE -9.4 (+18.6) 135.2 (+18.8) 86%
Baseline Plus ML SIUE -9.6 (+18.4) 136.4 (+17.6) 83%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 4, 2026 SIUE 7872 LIN
Jan 7, 2026 SIUE 6662 LIN
Jan 31, 2025 LIN 6563 SIUE
Jan 4, 2025 SIUE 5847 LIN
Jan 19, 2024 SIUE 7859 LIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SIUE LIN
Overall 17-16 9-22
Conference 9-9 3-15
Home 12-2 4-10
Away 2-13 3-12
Neutral 3-1 2-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.4 63.4
Avg Pts Against 71.0 74.9
Massey -5.9 (#275) -14.8 (#351)
Bradley-Terry -0.94 (#270) -2.58 (#353)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.26 (#276) -3.19 (#349)
RPI 0.456 (#262) 0.371 (#356)
Shooting & Four Factors SIUE LIN
FG% 41.1% 38.7%
3PT% 33.5% 27.8%
REB / G 33.6 31.2
OREB / G 10.4 8.5
AST / TO 0.97 0.59
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.3% 42.9%
TOV% 15.7% 17.8%
ORB% 29.3% 24.0%
FT Rate 23.9% 28.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.3% 53.0%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 18.0%
DRB% 70.2% 71.0%
Opp FT Rate 25.1% 29.4%

Game Analysis

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