Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE -112 LIN -108 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +4 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | LIN -0.1 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -0.3 (+4.3) | 143.0 (-15.0) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -1.1 (+2.9) | 142.4 (-14.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -0.7 (+4.7) | 139.5 (-11.5) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -0.4 (+4.4) | 139.3 (-11.3) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | SIUE 78 – 72 LIN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | LIN 65 – 63 SIUE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SIUE 58 – 47 LIN |
| Feb 16, 2024 | SIUE 91 – 63 LIN |
| Jan 19, 2024 | SIUE 78 – 59 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#266) | -2.8 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#276) | 0.14 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#275) | -0.00 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.388 (#342) | 0.500 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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