Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | LIN +145 SIUE -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +2 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -3.7 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -4.4 (+6.4) | 139.9 (-11.9) | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -3.8 (+5.8) | 138.7 (-10.7) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -3.2 (+5.2) | 137.9 (-9.9) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -2.8 (+4.8) | 139.7 (-11.7) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | SIUE 78 – 72 LIN |
| Jan 7, 2026 | SIUE 66 – 62 LIN |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SIUE 58 – 47 LIN |
| Feb 16, 2024 | SIUE 91 – 63 LIN |
| Jan 19, 2024 | SIUE 78 – 59 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 11-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#330) | -4.4 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#323) | -0.57 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.70 (#335) | -1.01 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#317) | 0.475 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.4% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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