Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | QUC +145 FGCU -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +9 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -3.8 (+12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+32.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -3.1 (+12.1) | 142.8 (+32.2) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -3.0 (+12.0) | 143.1 (+31.9) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -2.2 (+11.2) | 141.7 (+33.3) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -2.6 (+11.6) | 143.4 (+31.6) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | QUC 85 – 74 FGCU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | QUC 71 – 65 FGCU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | FGCU 60 – 47 QUC |
| Mar 5, 2024 | QUC 69 – 63 FGCU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | FGCU 90 – 81 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 9-9 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#272) | 1.7 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#211) | -0.06 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#236) | -0.14 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#235) | 0.516 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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