Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | FGCU -175 QUC +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +6 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -5.7 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (-19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -4.5 (-10.5) | 149.8 (-17.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -4.3 (-10.3) | 147.3 (-15.3) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -4.6 (-10.6) | 147.8 (-15.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -4.4 (-10.4) | 149.2 (-17.2) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | QUC 85 – 74 FGCU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | QUC 71 – 65 FGCU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | FGCU 60 – 47 QUC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | QUC 92 – 83 FGCU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | FGCU 90 – 81 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 7-9 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 82.6 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#243) | -6.4 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#256) | -0.72 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#249) | -0.98 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#262) | 0.474 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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