Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | FGCU -200 QUC +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +6 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -6.2 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -6.0 (-12.0) | 148.5 (-12.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -3.9 (-9.9) | 146.3 (-10.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -5.3 (-11.3) | 147.0 (-11.0) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -4.9 (-10.9) | 148.5 (-12.5) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | QUC 85 – 74 FGCU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | FGCU 60 – 47 QUC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | QUC 92 – 83 FGCU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | QUC 69 – 63 FGCU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | FGCU 90 – 81 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 9-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#165) | -3.2 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#168) | -0.36 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#175) | -0.69 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#155) | 0.487 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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