Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Under |
| Money | FGCU -130 QUC +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +11 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -3.7 (-14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 174.5 (-15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -2.3 (-13.3) | 160.1 (-1.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -1.9 (-12.9) | 163.0 (-4.0) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -1.0 (-12.0) | 161.0 (-2.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -1.8 (-12.8) | 161.3 (-2.3) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2025 | QUC 71 – 65 FGCU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | FGCU 60 – 47 QUC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | QUC 92 – 83 FGCU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | QUC 69 – 63 FGCU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | FGCU 90 – 81 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 84.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 83.8 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#203) | -2.6 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#264) | -0.31 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#232) | -0.46 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#260) | 0.484 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.4% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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