Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | FGCU -210 QUC +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +13 | 107 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -5.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-40.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -3.6 (+9.4) | 144.7 (-37.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -4.3 (+8.7) | 146.3 (-39.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -4.1 (+8.9) | 149.5 (-42.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -4.6 (+8.4) | 146.1 (-39.1) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | QUC 85 – 74 FGCU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | QUC 71 – 65 FGCU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | QUC 92 – 83 FGCU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | QUC 69 – 63 FGCU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | FGCU 90 – 81 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 9-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#161) | -1.8 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#183) | 0.45 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#183) | 0.12 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#159) | 0.525 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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