Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU -163 QUC +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +9 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -4.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (+19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -4.0 (+5.0) | 150.1 (+20.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -3.6 (+5.4) | 146.7 (+24.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -4.2 (+4.8) | 147.0 (+24.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -3.2 (+5.8) | 148.1 (+22.9) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | QUC 85 – 74 FGCU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | QUC 71 – 65 FGCU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | FGCU 60 – 47 QUC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | QUC 92 – 83 FGCU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | QUC 69 – 63 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 7-9 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 82.6 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#264) | -6.5 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#284) | -0.70 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#273) | -0.98 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#300) | 0.471 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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