Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | UNM -240 NEV +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +1 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -3.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -3.9 (-2.9) | 148.4 (+14.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -4.8 (-3.8) | 143.6 (+19.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -4.5 (-3.5) | 148.8 (+14.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -4.2 (-3.2) | 149.8 (+13.2) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | NEV 67 – 60 UNM |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UNM 80 – 73 NEV |
| Mar 5, 2025 | UNM 71 – 67 NEV |
| Feb 14, 2024 | UNM 83 – 82 NEV |
| Jan 29, 2024 | UNM 89 – 55 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-1 | 11-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#65) | 9.4 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#59) | 0.75 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#54) | 1.43 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#60) | 0.544 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 40.8% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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