Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | NEV -125 UNM +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +1 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | UNM -0.7 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -1.2 (-2.2) | 149.8 (+15.2) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -2.4 (-3.4) | 149.6 (+15.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -2.2 (-3.2) | 150.1 (+14.9) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -2.1 (-3.1) | 152.7 (+12.3) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | NEV 67 – 60 UNM |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UNM 80 – 73 NEV |
| Mar 5, 2025 | UNM 71 – 67 NEV |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNM 82 – 81 NEV |
| Jan 29, 2024 | UNM 89 – 55 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 8-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#46) | 15.1 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#23) | 2.12 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#31) | 2.57 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#35) | 0.614 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 32.5% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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