Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | UNM -395 NEV +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +7 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -6.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -6.1 (+0.9) | 144.7 (+8.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -7.0 (+0.0) | 144.5 (+8.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -7.0 (+0.0) | 144.2 (+8.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -6.5 (+0.5) | 144.7 (+8.3) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | NEV 67 – 60 UNM |
| Mar 5, 2025 | UNM 71 – 67 NEV |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNM 82 – 81 NEV |
| Feb 14, 2024 | UNM 83 – 82 NEV |
| Jan 29, 2024 | UNM 89 – 55 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 17-3 | 17-2 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#43) | 8.8 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#43) | 1.59 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.83 (#44) | 2.05 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#36) | 0.588 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 34.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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