Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | NEV -112 UNM -108 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +7 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -1.1 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (-24.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -0.8 (+7.8) | 148.3 (-21.3) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -0.9 (+6.1) | 145.9 (-18.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -0.4 (+6.6) | 146.9 (-19.9) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -0.4 (+6.6) | 149.3 (-22.3) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | UNM 80 – 73 NEV |
| Mar 5, 2025 | UNM 71 – 67 NEV |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNM 82 – 81 NEV |
| Feb 14, 2024 | UNM 83 – 82 NEV |
| Jan 29, 2024 | UNM 89 – 55 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 17-2 | 17-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#73) | 12.5 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#68) | 2.10 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#73) | 2.73 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#54) | 0.592 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 34.2% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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