Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | NEV -105 UNM -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +4 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | UNM -1.6 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -0.0 (-4.0) | 145.7 (-7.7) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -1.2 (-2.8) | 147.3 (-9.3) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -0.6 (-3.4) | 148.1 (-10.1) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -0.6 (-3.4) | 149.0 (-11.0) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | NEV 67 – 60 UNM |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UNM 80 – 73 NEV |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNM 82 – 81 NEV |
| Feb 14, 2024 | UNM 83 – 82 NEV |
| Jan 29, 2024 | UNM 89 – 55 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 17-3 |
| Home | 11-6 | 15-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#73) | 13.0 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#104) | 2.50 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#87) | 3.41 (#25) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#134) | 0.605 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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