Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | DEL -210 MONM +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +20 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -6.4 (+13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -4.8 (+15.2) | 153.2 (-5.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -3.4 (+16.6) | 153.1 (-5.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -4.7 (+15.3) | 152.2 (-4.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -4.7 (+15.3) | 152.0 (-4.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2025 | MONM 92 – 83 DEL |
| Feb 3, 2024 | DEL 84 – 80 MONM |
| Feb 3, 2023 | MONM 70 – 62 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-20 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-7 | 8-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#228) | -5.9 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#255) | -1.32 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#238) | -1.70 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#282) | 0.435 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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