Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | MONM -125 DEL +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +9 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -0.6 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (+16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -0.7 (+8.3) | 155.9 (+19.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -1.1 (+7.9) | 153.4 (+21.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -0.5 (+8.5) | 153.6 (+21.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -0.3 (+8.7) | 155.1 (+19.9) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2025 | DEL 84 – 64 MONM |
| Feb 3, 2024 | DEL 84 – 80 MONM |
| Feb 3, 2023 | MONM 70 – 62 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-2 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-14 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#280) | -4.4 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#298) | -0.73 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#287) | -1.00 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#287) | 0.465 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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