Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | DEL -275 MONM +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +4 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -6.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -4.9 (-0.9) | 144.8 (+19.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -5.5 (-1.5) | 145.1 (+18.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -4.4 (-0.4) | 142.9 (+21.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -4.6 (-0.6) | 143.5 (+20.5) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2025 | MONM 92 – 83 DEL |
| Jan 4, 2025 | DEL 84 – 64 MONM |
| Feb 3, 2023 | MONM 70 – 62 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 8-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#137) | -0.7 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#161) | 0.48 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#156) | 0.56 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#165) | 0.520 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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