Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -320 IOWA +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +31 | 201 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -4.3 (+26.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.8 (+36.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -5.8 (+25.2) | 160.6 (+40.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -6.3 (+24.7) | 163.3 (+37.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -5.3 (+25.7) | 163.6 (+37.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -5.5 (+25.5) | 161.9 (+39.1) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | WIS 84 – 71 IOWA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | WIS 74 – 63 IOWA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | IOWA 88 – 86 WIS |
| Jan 3, 2024 | WIS 83 – 72 IOWA |
| Feb 23, 2023 | WIS 64 – 52 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-13 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 82.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#39) | 13.1 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.75 (#25) | 2.35 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.11 (#16) | 3.44 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#20) | 0.553 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 51.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 1.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 59.0% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.5% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 14.4% |
Game Analysis
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