Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | IOWA +200 WIS -240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +11 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -4.1 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.7 (-29.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -5.3 (-5.7) | 158.7 (-21.7) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -2.4 (-8.6) | 156.7 (-19.7) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -3.2 (-7.8) | 156.3 (-19.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -2.6 (-8.4) | 155.8 (-18.8) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | WIS 84 – 71 IOWA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WIS 116 – 85 IOWA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | IOWA 88 – 86 WIS |
| Jan 3, 2024 | WIS 83 – 72 IOWA |
| Feb 23, 2023 | WIS 64 – 52 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.5 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#58) | 17.5 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#60) | 2.94 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#60) | 3.99 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#106) | 0.631 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.86 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.2% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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