Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Over |
| Money | WIS -292 IOWA +235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +11 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -6.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -6.3 (+4.7) | 153.4 (+1.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -7.7 (+3.3) | 149.1 (+5.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -7.2 (+3.8) | 153.8 (+1.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -8.0 (+3.0) | 154.0 (+1.0) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | WIS 84 – 71 IOWA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | WIS 74 – 63 IOWA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WIS 116 – 85 IOWA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | IOWA 88 – 86 WIS |
| Feb 23, 2023 | WIS 64 – 52 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 83.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#27) | 10.9 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.54 (#23) | 0.62 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.51 (#22) | 0.99 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.614 (#25) | 0.527 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 2.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 12.8% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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