Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | IOWA -115 WIS -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +2 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -0.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (+16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -0.3 (+2.3) | 153.5 (+20.5) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -0.3 (+2.3) | 149.5 (+24.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -1.3 (+0.7) | 150.7 (+23.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -1.1 (+0.9) | 152.5 (+21.5) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | WIS 84 – 71 IOWA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | WIS 74 – 63 IOWA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WIS 116 – 85 IOWA |
| Jan 3, 2024 | WIS 83 – 72 IOWA |
| Feb 23, 2023 | WIS 64 – 52 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.1 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#48) | 13.4 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#88) | 2.21 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#73) | 2.85 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#113) | 0.611 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.78 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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