Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -170 IOWA +142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +13 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -0.9 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -0.9 (+12.1) | 143.5 (+11.5) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -3.0 (+10.0) | 142.7 (+12.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -2.4 (+10.6) | 144.6 (+10.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -2.2 (+10.8) | 145.9 (+9.1) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2025 | WIS 74 – 63 IOWA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WIS 116 – 85 IOWA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | IOWA 88 – 86 WIS |
| Jan 3, 2024 | WIS 83 – 72 IOWA |
| Feb 23, 2023 | WIS 64 – 52 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 15-2 | 15-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 14.5 (#37) | 16.5 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#30) | 2.64 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.32 (#30) | 3.37 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#40) | 0.584 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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