Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -115 IOWA -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +12 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -0.5 (+12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (-28.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -1.0 (+11.0) | 136.1 (-20.1) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -1.5 (+10.5) | 141.3 (-25.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -1.5 (+10.5) | 142.2 (-26.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -1.3 (+10.7) | 139.8 (-23.8) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | WIS 84 – 71 IOWA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | WIS 74 – 63 IOWA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WIS 116 – 85 IOWA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | IOWA 88 – 86 WIS |
| Jan 3, 2024 | WIS 83 – 72 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#76) | 11.6 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#53) | 1.79 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#52) | 2.25 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#88) | 0.560 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 21.4% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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