Betting Lines
| Spread | WGA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | WGA -175 STET +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +16 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | WGA -8.8 (-24.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WGA -4.8 (-20.8) | 145.4 (-5.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WGA -7.3 (-23.3) | 143.6 (-3.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WGA -7.2 (-23.2) | 146.1 (-6.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WGA -7.4 (-23.4) | 145.3 (-5.3) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | STET 95 – 86 WGA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | STET 82 – 78 WGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WGA | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 4-8 | 5-9 |
| Away | 2-15 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 81.9 |
| Massey | -10.4 (#332) | -15.1 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.35 (#335) | -4.62 (#364) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.00 (#337) | -6.56 (#364) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#339) | 0.367 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WGA | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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