I don't know why I let that mean woman make me a fool. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Stetson Hatters
82 78
FINAL Conference
West Georgia Wolves
Atlantic Sun Conference · Insight Credit Union Arena at Edmunds Center · January 18, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread STET -1.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money STET -120 / WGA +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total STET win
Actual STET +4 160 Won
Massey STET -0.5 (+3.5)
Massey Totals 148.4 (+11.6)
Bradley-Terry 52%
Weighted B-T 63%
Efficiency Plus ML WGA -0.2 (+4.2) 144.5 (+15.5) 45%
Baseline Tuned ML STET -0.4 (+3.6) 144.5 (+15.5) 49%
Baseline ML STET -0.2 (+3.8) 146.9 (+13.1) 47%
Baseline Plus ML WGA -0.0 (+4.0) 148.4 (+11.6) 48%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 16, 2026 STET 9586 WGA
Jan 4, 2025 STET 7862 WGA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STET WGA
Overall 8-24 6-25
Conference 6-12 4-14
Home 5-9 4-8
Away 3-11 2-15
Neutral 0-4 0-2
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L2 W1
Avg Pts For 69.9 67.8
Avg Pts Against 81.9 78.8
Massey -14.9 (#353) -11.7 (#337)
Bradley-Terry -3.05 (#354) -2.43 (#343)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.62 (#350) -3.34 (#347)
RPI 0.376 (#349) 0.397 (#336)
Shooting & Four Factors STET WGA
FG% 42.3% 41.7%
3PT% 31.6% 30.3%
REB / G 32.8 31.9
OREB / G 8.6 9.7
AST / TO 0.75 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.5% 46.2%
TOV% 20.6% 16.7%
ORB% 25.0% 25.7%
FT Rate 23.4% 16.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.3% 56.2%
Opp TOV% 13.1% 17.8%
DRB% 62.9% 68.8%
Opp FT Rate 19.5% 27.3%

Game Analysis

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