Betting Lines
| Spread | WGA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | STET +100 WGA -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +9 | 181 | Won |
| Massey | WGA -1.1 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (+30.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -0.9 (+8.1) | 149.2 (+31.8) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WGA -1.3 (+10.3) | 146.5 (+34.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WGA -0.8 (+9.8) | 148.8 (+32.2) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WGA -1.0 (+10.0) | 148.3 (+32.7) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2025 | STET 82 – 78 WGA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | STET 78 – 62 WGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-14 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 80.5 |
| Massey | -13.9 (#344) | -9.3 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#300) | -0.57 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#289) | -1.65 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#325) | 0.485 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.5% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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