Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN -425 UCD +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +12 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -13.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -10.9 (+1.1) | 145.7 (-11.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -9.3 (+2.7) | 142.5 (-8.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -11.1 (+0.9) | 143.3 (-9.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -11.6 (+0.4) | 144.5 (-10.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | CSUN 94 – 78 UCD |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UCD 89 – 80 CSUN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CSUN 65 – 62 UCD |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UCD 66 – 65 CSUN |
| Jan 12, 2024 | UCD 95 – 75 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 10-7 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#99) | -4.7 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#107) | 0.14 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#119) | -0.27 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#182) | 0.513 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 32.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.7% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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