Betting Lines
| Spread | UCD -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN +100 UCD -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCD +1 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUN -1.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -1.1 (-2.1) | 143.4 (-12.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -0.3 (-1.3) | 143.6 (-12.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -1.9 (-2.9) | 143.1 (-12.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -1.0 (-2.0) | 144.2 (-13.2) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | CSUN 94 – 78 UCD |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UCD 89 – 80 CSUN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CSUN 65 – 62 UCD |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CSUN 73 – 61 UCD |
| Jan 12, 2024 | UCD 95 – 75 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 9-7 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#213) | -1.0 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#170) | -0.18 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#192) | -0.31 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#205) | 0.479 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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