Betting Lines
| Spread | MTST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | EWU +105 MTST -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +5 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | MTST -0.7 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (-19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -0.4 (+4.6) | 147.7 (-16.7) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -0.0 (+5.0) | 143.4 (-12.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTST -0.4 (+5.4) | 146.7 (-15.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MTST -0.3 (+5.3) | 148.4 (-17.4) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | EWU 72 – 71 MTST |
| Jan 9, 2026 | MTST 68 – 64 EWU |
| Jan 21, 2025 | MTST 74 – 64 EWU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | EWU 108 – 104 MTST |
| Feb 2, 2024 | MTST 70 – 60 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-6 | 11-3 |
| Away | 2-14 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#260) | -0.3 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#301) | -0.72 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#285) | -0.43 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#307) | 0.462 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.7% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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