Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | MTST +170 EWU -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTST +10 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -3.1 (+13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -1.3 (+11.3) | 150.5 (-20.5) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -2.6 (+12.6) | 147.3 (-17.3) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -2.4 (+12.4) | 148.8 (-18.8) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -2.6 (+12.6) | 151.3 (-21.3) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | EWU 72 – 71 MTST |
| Jan 9, 2026 | MTST 68 – 64 EWU |
| Jan 21, 2025 | MTST 74 – 64 EWU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | EWU 68 – 63 MTST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | EWU 108 – 104 MTST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MTST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 10-7 | 11-1 |
| Away | 4-10 | 10-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#243) | 2.7 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#222) | 0.94 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#225) | 0.90 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#243) | 0.546 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MTST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 29.1 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.1 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 19.2% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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